Just as America's latest breed of super jet fighters are being reigned in due to a mystery safety problem, a new Pentagon report released today notes that China's own version of a next-generation fighter appears to be designed to have similar capabilities.
"The January 2011 flight test of China's next-generation fighter prototype, the J-20, highlights China's ambition to produce a fighter aircraft that incorporates stealth attributes, advanced avionics, and super-cruise engines," said the Pentagon's 2012 annual assessment of the Chinese military.
The report comes a month after a second prototype of the J-2o was reportedly spotted rolling around a Chinese airfield, more than a year and a half since China's only other known prototype made its first public flight.
The three attributes described by the Pentagon are among the advanced capabilities of the F-22 Raptor, the stealth fighter jet billed by the U.S. Air Force and its manufacturer, Lockheed Martin, as the most sophisticated fighter on the planet. But currently the entire fleet of F-22s, which cost the U.S. government an estimated $79 billion, has been slapped with strict flight restrictions due to safety concerns for pilots.
The restrictions, which keep the planes in close proximity to potential landing strips in case of a mid-air emergency, were announced two weeks after an ABC News "Nightline" investigation found that the advanced $420 million-a-pop fighter jets have been plagued by a rare but potentially deadly oxygen problem for years. Despite multiple investigations including a four-month full-fleet grounding last year, the Air Force has been unable to pinpoint the cause.
The concept of the F-22 itself has also been long debated. Officials at the Air Force and Lockheed Martin have said the jets are essential to the future of American war power. However, funding for new super jets was cut by Congress in 2009 after powerful critics from across the political spectrum, from Sen. John McCain (R.-Ariz.) to then Defense Secretary Robert Gates to President Barack Obama, all called on lawmakers to halt F-22 orders at 187 planes, saying that the plane was designed to fight fleets of other, rival next-generation fighters – an enemy that does not exist.
Despite going combat operational in late 2005, the jets have yet to go into combat, from Iraq and Afghanistan to the "no-fly zone" over Libya last March. In all cases, the Air Force said the sophisticated fighters simply weren't needed.
Just before funding for the F-22 was cut in 2009, President Obama received a letter from more than a dozen Congressmen and local lawmakers in support of the F-22. In the letter, the supporters claimed the full force of a 600-plus F-22 fleet would be needed to counter future rivals like Russia and China.
Since, both Russia and China appear to have developed prototypes for their own next generation fighters. The Russian variant, the Sukhoi T-50, was shown off to the public during an air show last August. Russian news reports compared the jet's capabilities directly with those of the F-22. Though China is not believed to have more than a couple J-20s, a U.S. government report on Chinese weapons systems released last month said U.S. intelligence estimated that at least some J-20s could go combat operational as soon as 2018.
That document, from the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, revealed that some U.S. analysts doubt the Chinese are very far along in developing the "key components for designing a fifth-generation fighter" such as effective stealth technology and high-performance engines.
"We've got to continue to watch as it develops. It's still in the prototype phase," David Helvey, Acting Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for East Asia and Asia Pacific Security, told reporters today. "We'd like to be able to continue to monitor developments on that to understand exactly what China may intend to use it for and I wouldn't want to speculate at this point for what those specific missions might be."
In a speech in 2009, Gates noted that other nations were developing next-generation fighters but said America is already way ahead in the numbers game and that gap "only widens" as the Air Force begins receiving hundreds of the F-22-s companion fighter, the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter – a plane that has had its share of cost overruns and delays in development.
It would be a serious mistake to underestimate where exactly China (or Russia) is in challenging the abilities of our own superb multi-role fighters. We already know China has in the past been able to penetrate DoD computer systems, as well as DoD contractor computer systems. Additionally, some years ago we know that our National Lab (Sandia) lost a critical hard drive from a prime computer. Additionally, we also know that the Clinton administration "cooperated" with China on their space program. Read that as gave them the farm regarding Missile control science, to be exact. For the (Long March?) program, as I recall. When any nation has enough pieces of the puuzzle, they can create the remainder and duplicate the picture.
"BTW", Russia does (it seems) have a challenger for the F22, and it may even be a "killer" of the F35 Joint Strike Fighter. Maybe not outfly it, but able to knock it down.
"BTW", IMHO, the problems experienced by pilots of the F22 are compounded by the (what word means extremely extreme?) computerized controls. The F22 is so far ahead of the human body to respond to and cope with the dynamics of rapidly changing G-forces, that the human body experieces bad juju during extreme manouvers and the mind cannot match the speed of changes.
The F16 Wing Commander, after a week of OpFors with a prototype F22, said; "It was an eye-watering, sobering experience. We spent 24/7 maintaining our Wing, and we never got a crosshair on the F22. One second you see it, the next second you don't, then it's on your tail and you're in it's crosshairs. Send up two against it, they're both dead. Send up four against it, four are dead.!" I believe, at the time, the F22 was being flown by the company test pilot.
For it to be that large of a margin between the flight abilities of the F16 and the F22, the pilots of the F22 had better be in extremely super-human shape! 🙂